Fire Season 2021

General discussions on hiking in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest
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BurnsideBob
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Location: Mount Angel, Oregon

Fire Season 2021

Post by BurnsideBob » March 28th, 2021, 6:55 am

Wildfire seems more and more a prominent but unpredictable element of backpack trip planning.

The Flagstaff, AZ office of the National Weather Service has issued a wildfire forecast for 2021, available here:

https://www.weather.gov/media/fgz/March21Fire.pdf.

While centric to AZ and NM much of the information and maps are national and cover our area.

"Hit 'em hard and keep 'em small."

Burnside
I keep making protein shakes but they always turn out like margaritas.

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retired jerry
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Re: Fire Season 2021

Post by retired jerry » March 28th, 2021, 7:25 am

wow!

Is this a thing now? Every year we have a significant fire season?

Hopefully this year won't be so bad

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drm
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Re: Fire Season 2021

Post by drm » March 28th, 2021, 8:18 am

I think in the PNW the biggest factor is thunderstorms. Because we get almost no summer rain, it will always be dry by late summer. Even if we have a wet spring, it will completely dry out, though it means we probably won't get an early start. While some fires get started by campfires or machinery sparks, I think t-storms are still the biggest factor, and some years we have almost none of them, and so can still have a mild fire year no matter how dry it is.

And there can always be freaky factors like last September's windstorm, but that's not predictable at all.

The Southwest gets a summer monsoon most years, to I think their fire season is early.

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BurnsideBob
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Re: Fire Season 2021

Post by BurnsideBob » April 1st, 2021, 4:16 pm

Here's an assessment of wildland fire potential thru July issued today, 1 April, by the National Interagency Fire Center.

https://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov ... utlook.pdf

This report has separate sections for different regions of the country--Western portions of Washington and Oregon have deeper than normal snowpack so are likely to have milder fire seasons. Southern California and the desert South West are gripped by drought and are predicted to have more severe fire seasons. Other areas are mixed with higher elevation areas benefitting from deeper snowfall but lower areas drier than normal.

I hope to visit NW Wyoming in August, but maybe I should plan a back up for the Washington Cascades or Olympics??

Burnside
I keep making protein shakes but they always turn out like margaritas.

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