Record number of days without rain

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retired jerry
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Record number of days without rain

Post by retired jerry » June 13th, 2015, 12:33 pm

No rain since June 3. No rain in sight. If we can make it past July 4 or so the chance of rain gets smaller. "In Portland, summer starts on July 5".

1967 - 71 days without rain - June 23 to Sept 1 - we'll match that August 13 - if we could go to September 1 we'll have 90 days which would blow the record out of the water (pun intended)

Aimless
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Re: Record number of days without rain

Post by Aimless » June 13th, 2015, 6:20 pm

My theory (nb: I am not a meteorologist) is that warmer than normal summers produce rainy Septembers. Since it is still only June 13, and summer doesn't really get going until July5 (as you noted) it's still a bit early to count out June for measurable rain. If we get to 55 days and counting I think we'll have very favorable odds to beat 1967.

I well remember that year. Several times that summer it was sultry, cloudy and humid and felt like rain could happen, but each time any rain that might have fallen avoided the official rain gauges and the record happened. This seems like a promising year, if we can get to mid-July dry. Of course, that means extreme fire danger, too. :(

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retired jerry
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Re: Record number of days without rain

Post by retired jerry » June 14th, 2015, 5:16 am

yeah, I tried to talk last year into being a record, but it didn't work. A couple days with a bit of rain ruined it :)

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drm
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Re: Record number of days without rain

Post by drm » June 14th, 2015, 6:56 am

The strengthening El Nino may help this along. Although the last strong El Nino had a fairly normal winter in these parts, I saw a report that 70% of El Ninos are warmer and drier than average in these parts. But that is for next winter. The effects on summer weather are not so strong.

And consider this:
3 month temps.png
3 month temperature projection

Jesse
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Re: Record number of days without rain

Post by Jesse » June 14th, 2015, 10:19 am

No reason to root for a record dry stretch unless you like seeing all of your favorite hiking spots go up in flames.

We need rain and cooler weather badly.

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retired jerry
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Re: Record number of days without rain

Post by retired jerry » June 14th, 2015, 11:17 am

my rooting has no effect on what will happen :)

it takes a tiny sprinkle to ruin the streak, not enough to make things better

if there's more rain, no record, but things are better. If there's a new record, I derive pleasure from anticipating it. win-win...

I got a bunch of branches on driveway that need picking up. Trying to avoid.

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drm
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Re: Record number of days without rain

Post by drm » June 14th, 2015, 12:39 pm

I like the sun and heat more than a lot of folks around here, but I also root for occasionally steady rains - not endless misty drizzles.

Last year we got basically what I like - solid stretches of sunny days and periods of rain in between. This year not so, no Juneuary at all. More like Jugust.

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BigBear
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Re: Record number of days without rain

Post by BigBear » June 16th, 2015, 11:51 am

Wow, since June 3rd. If it doesn't rain tonight that will be a whole 2 weeks. Oh my.

I guess we all need to plan big outdoor family picnics/wedding and wash our cars to encourage the rain. That has seemed to work in the past. :)

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retired jerry
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Re: Record number of days without rain

Post by retired jerry » June 19th, 2015, 12:30 pm

dodged a bullet

I saw some raindrops in beaverton but nothing recorded at PDX

Nothing in the 10 day forecast which would take us to June 30 which would be 28 days without rain. Then, possible to go for an extended period?

Have I worn out this joke yet?

I won't bring it up again until it rains or we break record... :)

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Eric Peterson
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Re: Record number of days without rain

Post by Eric Peterson » June 21st, 2015, 4:29 am

Jerry's dry streak rooting usually brings rain, so I'm rooting for Jerry :)

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