I got this from this Oregon Health Autority fact sheet. I don't think the dog/tick contact rate was limited to dogs on hikes but rather includes all dogs wandering around outside, hiking or not. Based on the OHA fact sheet, Lyme Disease is now essentially endemic in Oregon - no need for tourists from CT or PA to bring us any more.Water wrote:It was my understanding that diagnosed case in Oregon does not necessarily have bearing on where it was contracted. There's a lot of cross country travel. And if you lived in CT or PA for 3 years and moved here 3 years ago and finally got a diagnosis, that counts as an Oregon Diagnosis.VanMarmot wrote:During the past six years (2011-17), 40–50 human cases of Lyme disease have been reported in Oregon each year. In 2015, 120 cases of Lyme disease were reported in dogs.
Where's the source on this, 120 cases in dogs in 1 year vs 40-50 over 6 years for humans.. I realize dogs definitely pick up the ticks at a much higher rate, but they also don't travel to hike nearly as much as humans do.. that would seem to indicate a lot more lyme presence in Oregon, at least to me.
Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
Re: Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
Re: Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
Endemic sounds so, well, so much like pandemic and other overwhelming words. Let's draw a picture...VanMarmot wrote:Based on the OHA fact sheet, Lyme Disease is now essentially endemic in Oregon - no need for tourists from CT or PA to bring us any more.
Karl
Back on the trail, again...
Back on the trail, again...
Re: Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
Endemic just means its regularly encountered in an area. But Lyme is here and isn't likely to be going away. So "endemic" may not be true for all of Oregon, yet...kepPNW wrote:Endemic sounds so, well, so much like pandemic and other overwhelming words.VanMarmot wrote:Based on the OHA fact sheet, Lyme Disease is now essentially endemic in Oregon - no need for tourists from CT or PA to bring us any more.
I doubt we'll have a "pandemic" of ticks because the little buggers can only crawl around. I suppose if they ever develop wings we're doomed...
Re: Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
Oh sure, I know. Was just playing around there a bit.VanMarmot wrote:Endemic just means its regularly encountered in an area.kepPNW wrote:Endemic sounds so, well, so much like pandemic and other overwhelming words.VanMarmot wrote:Based on the OHA fact sheet, Lyme Disease is now essentially endemic in Oregon - no need for tourists from CT or PA to bring us any more.
Yeah, it's a real threat, it seems. But it's good to keep it in perspective. Somehow, those folks in the NE and midwest are (mostly) still surviving.VanMarmot wrote:But Lyme is here and isn't likely to be going away. So "endemic" may not be true for all of Oregon, yet...
Study IDs key birds that host Lyme disease bacteria in CaliforniaVanMarmot wrote:I doubt we'll have a "pandemic" of ticks because the little buggers can only crawl around. I suppose if they ever develop wings we're doomed...
Karl
Back on the trail, again...
Back on the trail, again...
Re: Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
Yep, we're doomed...kepPNW wrote:Study IDs key birds that host Lyme disease bacteria in CaliforniaVanMarmot wrote:I doubt we'll have a "pandemic" of ticks because the little buggers can only crawl around. I suppose if they ever develop wings we're doomed...
Re: Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
"I got this from this Oregon Health Autority fact sheet."
if numbers within a decimal place or two and rounding errors are facts:
if numbers within a decimal place or two and rounding errors are facts:
Re: Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
I'm pretty sure 12 out of 10,345 isn't 1.15%.Micky wrote:"if numbers within a decimal place or two and rounding errors are facts:
- adamschneider
- Posts: 3711
- Joined: May 28th, 2008, 10:02 pm
- Location: SE Portland
- Contact:
Re: Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
Oy. No kidding. If it really was 12 out of 10,345, that'd be 0.116%, or 1 out of 862!texasbb wrote:I'm pretty sure 12 out of 10,345 isn't 1.15%.
The cited source of that chart is here: https://www.capcvet.org/maps/#2017/all/ ... es/oregon/
So it looks like they probably meant "120 out of 10,345", given that the most recent numbers on that page are 136 out of 13,850. More likely a typo ("12" instead of "120") than bad math.
(But it's still a pretty low number compared to the Northeast.)
Re: Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
NB: page 2 of the report lists 120 dog cases in 2015, though nitpicking typos and rounding errors of .0001 is definitely wholesome fun. Do you have any idea how many ticks could bite one hundredth of a percent of a dog?!
#pnw #bestlife #bitingflies #favoriteyellowcap #neverdispleased
Re: Swale Canyon Lyme Disease warning
My mom contracted Lyme from a tick bite on vacation in Hawaii, of all places, in the 1970s. She had the bullseye rash, but west coast doctors weren't yet aware of Lyme. By the time it was diagnosed years later, it was not treatable. She suffered thirty years of increasingly debilitating neurological symptoms, culminating in a stroke that killed her.retired jerry wrote:If you delay treating, then you can get into this zone where the doctors say you're cured but you still have symptoms. Treating the delayed symptoms is controversial, maybe it's ineffective, maybe you'll get better eventually anyway,...