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 Post subject: Should we have public review of Gorge fire management plan?
 Post Posted: February 10th, 2018, 2:41 pm 

Joined: January 22nd, 2010, 10:48 am
Posts: 68
Thanks to everyone who commented on my previous post about the Gorge Fire Management Plan and hiking's future. I'd like to hear some specific comments from hikers on having a public review of the Gorge's fire management plan. Are you in favor of one? Why or why not?

For some background see: http://www.lensjoy.com/Blog/EagleCreekFire.htm

Luck is not a fire management strategy. If the fire had started in the days before September 2, it could have been much larger. Some simplified fire growth modeling indicates this possibility:
File comment: Fire growth prediction with August 26, 2017 start date
Capture.PNG [ 151.38 KiB | Viewed 218 times ]

Here are some predicted sizes of the fire for other start dates. Conservative parameters cause the size for one starting 9/1 to be low.
Start Date Peak Size (acres)
8/26 1,065,564
8/27 623,247
8/28 487,762
8/29 213,217
8/30 119,094
8/31 72,943
9/1 23,830

And yes, I know we don't have a million acres of fuels on Oregon and Washington sides of the gorge. What the model is predicting is the fire growth potential. A number that big means we would have lost nearly everything that could burn until the fire reached areas where it wouldn't spread further due to lack of fuels.

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